FORESIGHT RADAR

Asia 2038: Ten disruptions that change everything

Based on extensive foresight research by Sohail Inayatullah and Lu Na

Explore the disruptive forces shaping futures of Asia

 
 
 

Asia’s economic rise over recent decades has been remarkable, but the future holds far more than just economic growth for the continent. No longer catching up, the region is now defining its own path to prosperity. By 2038, Asia could emerge as the new epicentre of the world, influencing social, political, and cultural shifts on a global scale.

Based on the book Asia 2038: Ten Disruptions That Change Everything by Prof. Sohail Inayatullah and Lu Na, this foresight radar reveals 10 key disruptions and 60+ trends, change signals and potential wild card events propelling Asia towards new directions.

 

Access the radar

 

QUICK INSTRUCTIONS

  1. The radar brings together 60+ in-depth analyses of future trends, disruptions and drivers of long-term change. Drag or pinch the radar to zoom in/out.

  2. These analyses, called “future phenomena”, are organised under themed sectors. Click sector names to view further analysis.

  3. Click individual phenomena to read the full analysis, including intro, video, background, implications, scenarios, related phenomena, further information, and related news signals.

  4. On each phenomenon card, you can both vote and rate the importance of the subject. View voting/rating results by clicking the centre of the radar.

  5. The colour of the phenomenon indicates type: strengthening, weakening, wild card, weak signal (read more here)

BASED ON THE BOOK

Asia 2038: Ten Disruptions that Change Everything

Asia 2038 highlights ten interrelated emerging issues or disruptions that point towards multiple possibilities for Asia. The book intends to provide a working map of the nature of both the disruption and the many possibilities ahead, so that wiser decisions can be made today. In addition to these many possibilities the book also outlines a number of shared desired visions for Asia 2038, based on decades of conducting workshops and interviews with a range of people across the region.

By Sohail Inayatullah and Lu Na

Graduate Institute of Futures Studies, Tamkang University, Tamsui, 2018

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Sohail Inayatullah

Sohail Inayatullah, a political scientist and futurist, is the UNESCO Chair in Futures Studies at the Sejahtera Centre for Sustainability and Humanity, IIUM, Malaysia. He is also Professor at Tamkang University, Taiwan and Associate, Melbourne Business School, the University of Melbourne. He teaches from www.metafutureschool.org where his courses include Become a Futurist and Personal Futures: the CLA of the Self. He is listed in the top two percent of the world's scientists as measured by the highest impact of citations.

His most recent books include CLA 3.0, The End of the Cow and other Emerging Issues, and Asia 2038.

In the past few years, he has worked with UNESCAP; Victoria Police; Auckland City Council; Data.com; Thailand Institute for Justice; Ho Chin Minh Academy; PWC; ANZ; OECD; FAO; INTERPOL; Mitsubishi Motors; the Government of New Zealand; WHO; the Government of Egypt; the Government of Indonesia; The Asian Development Bank; Globe Telecom; ISESCO; the Philippines Senate; the Pacific Community; GASERC; and the Queensland Crime and Corruption Commission.

How to use the radar

Each circle on the radar represents a trend or an emerging change signal. They are placed on the radar according to their anticipated nature and scale of change they’ll go through in the decades ahead. When you click the titles of each radar section, it will open a summarised, big-picture analysis of the trends in that category.

Clicking on phenomena circles will open a trend card where you can find our futurists’ analyses on the individual phenomenon and its future impacts across various sectors. In some of the trend cards, you can also find scenario descriptions that describe alternative future development paths for the given phenomenon.

Every card on Futures Platform’s foresight database is assigned a type according to its anticipated future development path. We categorise future changes into four types - Strengthening, Weakening, Wild Card and Weak Signal.

The phenomenon is becoming more common or acute during the given timeframe. Most of its change potential is still ahead. 

The phenomenon is becoming more unusual. During the given timeframe, most of its change potential or value has already occurred. 

A possible but not probable event or change. The probability within the given timeframe is between 5% to 30%. 

A small emerging issue in the present. At the given timeframe, it is still hard to say whether it will become a trend. 

Explore more insights on our blog

Wish to go deeper?

We’d be happy to assist with a more in-depth analysis of the future scenarios ahead for your organisation’s operational environment. Submit the form, and one of our foresight experts will be in touch shortly.