SCENARIO REPORT

Rebuilding Ukraine

Four Future Scenarios

The cost of rebuilding Ukraine stands at $486 billion, according to the World Bank, and it’s increasing every day. As Ukraine faces this monumental task, the decisions made now will determine the nation's long-term recovery.

Authored in collaboration with Jukka Laikari, co-founder of Rebuild Ukraine Office, and experts in military and foreign policy, this report outlines four possible trajectories for Ukraine’s post-war future. Each scenario reflects the complex interplay of war outcomes, regional dynamics, and international support, offering critical insights for policymakers, organisations, and businesses navigating this critical moment.

What’s inside the report?

The in-depth scenario report provides a thorough examination of possible future paths for Ukraine’s rebuilding efforts. Here’s what’s included:

  • Four different future scenarios

    Exploring diverse recovery pathways shaped by war outcomes, regional dynamics, and the level of international support.

  • Development paths and timelines

    Detailed analyses of how each scenario could unfold over time, highlighting milestones and potential turning points.

  • Impact analysis

    Insights into how each scenario affects key stakeholders across different geographical regions and business sectors.

  • Strategic guidance

    Actionable insights to guide decision-makers facing complex rebuilding challenges.

  • Ongoing updates

    As the situation in Ukraine evolves, so will this report. To keep the insights current and actionable, buyers will receive complimentary updates as new developments emerge.

Access a free overview of the scenarios

Get a quick glimpse into Ukraine’s possible futures—visit our blog for a free, high-level overview of the four scenarios included in the full report.

Who is this report for?

This report is designed for senior decision-makers and foresight, strategy, innovation, and risk management teams. It provides a structured framework for understanding the future possibilities shaping Ukraine’s post-war recovery and their practical implications for key stakeholders:

  • Develop strategies for effective rebuilding that balance immediate priorities with long-term economic and social stability goals under different future scenarios.

  • Align humanitarian, development, and advocacy efforts with potential recovery scenarios, ensuring equitable, impactful, and community-centered support tailored to Ukraine’s evolving needs.

  • From large multinationals to regional players in construction, finance, and technology, identify opportunities to contribute meaningfully to Ukraine’s reconstruction while managing risks and aligning investments with the nation’s recovery goals.

WORKSHOP PACKAGE

Identify the practical impacts of these scenarios for your organisation

To complement the insights in this report, our workshop package provides a practical framework to examine how these scenarios may impact your organisation and develop strategies to respond effectively to different future possibilities.

What’s included in the workshop package:

  • Customised Analysis

    We begin with an assessment of how the scenarios outlined in the report may impact your organisation, industry and specific context.

  • Virtual Workshop Session

    Led by our team of experienced strategic foresight experts, this workshop will facilitate in-depth discussions on the practical implications of each scenario and strategic considerations for your organisation.

  • Key Findings Report

    Receive a detailed write-up outlining the main findings and actionable recommendations from the workshop to support informed decision-making.

Fill out the form below to express your interest in the workshop or request additional information

Our team will get in touch to discuss next steps.