In 2022, we outlined four possible futures for the war in Ukraine. Now, three years later, as new geopolitical realities emerge, it’s time to reassess which scenarios still hold and what the latest developments mean for Ukraine, Russia, and the West.

The cost of Ukraine's reconstruction stands at a staggering $486 billion—and climbs higher with each passing day. Timely decisions on investments, workforce, and resources will define the nation’s post-war recovery and long-term future.

Geopolitical tensions surrounding Taiwan are reaching a critical juncture as Beijing increases political and military pressure on Taipei. We present three scenarios that explore the future of Taiwan-China relations and the implications of a potential conflict.